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American Jewish Committee's 2006 Annual Survey of Jewish Opinion.
Op/Ed

2006 Annual Survey Of American Jewish Opinion
GOP efforts to sway Jewish voters have floundered.

-- Ira Forman

The American Jewish Committee's (AJC) 2006 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion shows that the number of Jewish voters identifying themselves as Democrats has increased from 48 percent to 54 percent since the last mid-term election in 2002. At the same time, the number of Jewish voters identifying themselves as Republicans has decreased from 18 percent in 2002 to 15 percent in 2006.

"These numbers reaffirm what we have been saying for so long. Jewish voters just don't feel comfortable with the Republican Party," said NJDC Executive Director Ira Forman. "Most recently, the Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC) spent a million dollars in a 'devoid of truth' campaign to divide the Jewish community and convince Jewish voters to switch their party affiliation. All they have to show for it is a three percent decrease in the number of Jews who consider themselves to be Republicans and a six percent increase in the number of Jews who are now Democrats. If this is what you get with $1 million in RJC ad buys, I hope that they spend $2 million in 2008."

The AJC survey also shows that the number of Jewish voters who identify themselves as liberal has increased from 37 percent in 2002 to 42 percent in 2006. In contrast, the number of Jewish voters who identify themselves as conservative has decreased from 29 percent to 25 percent during the same time period.

According to the AJC 2006 Annual Survey, Jewish voters also believe that the Democratic Party is more likely to make the right decisions about the Iraq war and terrorism, as well as ensure a strong economy.

"RJC donors are going to demand a refund when they read these numbers," Forman noted. "These non-partisan numbers don't lie. Jewish voters aren't buying what Republicans are selling."

2006 Annual Survey Of American Jewish Opinion
September 25 -- October 16, 2006

-- American Jewish Committee

Introduction

The data reported here are from the 2006 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion, sponsored by the American Jewish Committee, detailing the views of American Jews about a broad range of subjects. Among the topics covered in the present survey are the campaign against terrorism and the war in Iraq, the Israel-Arab conflict, the attachment of American Jews to Israel, political and social issues in the United States, Jewish perceptions of anti-Semitism, Jewish opinion about various countries, and Jewish identity concerns. Some of the questions appearing in the survey are new; others are drawn from previous American Jewish Committee surveys, including the Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion carried out in 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005.

The 2006 survey was conducted for the American Jewish Committee by Synovate (formerly Market Facts), a leading survey-research organization. Respondents were interviewed by telephone between September 25 - October 16, 2006; no interviewing took place on the Sabbath and Jewish holidays. The sample consisted of 958 self-identifying Jewish respondents selected from the Synovate consumer mail panel. The respondents are demographically representative of the United States adult Jewish population on a variety of measures. The margin of error for the sample as a whole is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

A. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States government is handling the war against terrorism?
  

     Approve

31

     Disapprove

62

     Not Sure

8
2. Compared to one year ago, do you feel more safe from the threat of terrorism, less safe, or about as safe as you felt one year ago?

  

3. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out?

  

     Right thing

29

     Stayed out

65
     Not Sure

6

4. Which of these do you think is most likely? Iraq will become a stable democracy in the next year or two, OR Iraq will become a stable democracy, but it will take longer than a year or two, OR Iraq will probably never become a stable democracy.
  

     Will in the next year or two

3

     Will take longer than a year or two

27

     Will never become a stable democracy

66

     Not sure

4
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States government is handling the situation with Iran's nuclear weapons program?
  

     Approve

33

     Disapprove

54

     Not Sure

13
6. Would you support or oppose the United States taking military action against Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons?
  

     Support

38

     Oppose

54

     Not Sure

8
7. Do you agree or disagree with those who claim that the West and the Muslim world are engaged in a clash of civilizations?
  

     Agree

64

     Disagree

29

     Not Sure

7

B. ISRAEL

8. Do you think there will or will not come a time when Israel and the Arabs will be able to settle their differences and live in peace?
  

9. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? ?The goal of the Arabs is not the return of occupied territories but rather the destruction of Israel."

  

     Agree

81

     Disagree

13

     Not sure

6
10. In the fighting between Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon, who emerged the winner?

  

11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Israeli government has handled the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon?
  

     Approve

55

     Disapprove

35

     Not sure

10
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States government has handled the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon?
  

     Approve

53

     Disapprove

39

     Not Sure

8
13. Do you think that the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is likely to lead to a larger war involving other countries in the Middle East or not?
  

14. Would you support or oppose Israel taking military action against Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons?
  

     Support

57

     Oppose

35

     Not sure

8
15. In the current situation, do you favor or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state?
  

16. In the framework of a permanent peace with the Palestinians, should Israel be willing to compromise on the status of Jerusalem as a united city under Israeli jurisdiction?
  

     Yes

40

     No

52

     Not sure

7
17. In light of recent events in the Middle East, how would you rate various foreign governments in terms of their feelings toward Israel, with one hundred meaning a very warm, favorable feeling, zero meaning a very cold, unfavorable feeling, and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred. How would you rate the government of [ ] in terms of feelings toward Israel?
  

    

Mean Score

     a. United States

77

     b. China

36

     c. Germany

44

     d. Egypt

37

     e. France

30

     f. Turkey

38

     g. Russia

38

     h. Jordan

36

     i. Great Britain

65

     j. Syria

15
18. In your opinion, does the United Nations treat Israel fairly or unfairly in its deliberations?
  

     Fairly

27

     Unfairly

66

     Not sure

7

C. NATIONAL AFFAIRS

19. I'm going to read you a list of political views that people might hold. They are arranged from extremely liberal to extremely conservative. Where would you place yourself on this scale?
  

     Extremely liberal

4

     Liberal

26

     Slightly liberal

12

     Moderate, middle of the road

32

     Slightly conservative

10

     Conservative

12

     Extremely conservative

3

     Not sure

2
20. In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?

  

     Republican

15

     Democrat

54

     Independent

29

     Not sure

3
21. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decision about the war in Iraq?

  

     Republican

22

     Democratic

59
     Both (vol.)

2

     Neither (vol.)

11

     Not sure

7

22. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to ensure a strong economy?
  

     Republican

27

     Democratic

60
     Both (vol.)

1

     Neither (vol.)

6

     Not sure

6

23. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decision when it comes to dealing with terrorism?
  

     Republican

28

     Democratic

51
     Both (vol.)

5

     Neither (vol.)

10

     Not sure

6

24. How serious a problem do you think the issue of illegal immigration is for the United States right now -- very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not a problem at all?
  

     Very serious problem

40

     Somewhat serious problem

38

     Not too serious problem

17

     Not a problem at all

4

     Not sure

1
25. Which comes closest to your view about what government policy should be towards illegal immigrants currently residing in the United States? Should the government deport all illegal immigrants back to their home country, OR allow illegal immigrants to remain in the United States in order to work but only for a limited amount of time, OR allow illegal immigrants to remain in the United States and become U.S. citizens but only if they meet certain requirements over a period of time?
  

     Deport all

14

     Remain to work for limited amount of time

17

     Remain to work if meet certain criteria

66

     Not sure

3
26. In your opinion, how important is it that the United States achieve energy independence? Is it very important, somewhat important, or not important at all?
  

27. What is the best way for the United States to handle its energy needs -- by encouraging greater energy production, by encouraging greater energy conservation, or by developing alternative energy sources?
  

     Greater energy production

5

     Greater energy conservation

9

     Developing alternative energy sources

74

     All three (vol.)

11

     Not sure

2

D. ANTI-SEMITISM

28. Do you think that anti-Semitism in the United States is currently a very serious problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem at all?
  

 


29. In your opinion, what proportion of each of the following groups in the United States is anti-Semitic: most, many, some, very few, or none?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 














 

   Most  Many  Some Very few  None  Not sure
 a. Asians

2

 4

 37

38 

10 

 b. Muslims

32

27 

29 

 c. Hispanics

2

46 

31 

 d. Blacks

16 

55 

17 

 e. Evangelical Protestants

9

15 

41 

20 

11 

 f. Catholics

5

10

53 

24 


30. Do you think that anti-Semitism in the Muslim world is currently a very serious problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem at all?

  

     Very serious problem

73

     Somewhat of a problem

23
     Not a problem at all

2

     Not sure

3

31. Looking ahead over the next several years, do you think that anti-Semitism around the world will increase greatly, increase somewhat, remain the same, decrease somewhat, or decrease greatly?
  

     Increase greatly

17

     Increase somewhat

36
     Remain the same

36

     Decrease somewhat

7

     Decrease greatly

1

     Not sure

3


E. JEWISH IDENTITY

32. How important would you say being Jewish is in your own life?
  

33. Do you think of yourself as ...

  

     Orthodox

8

     Conservative

33

     Reconstructionist

2

     Reform

31

     Just Jewish

24

     Not sure

2
34.Do you belong to a synagogue or temple?

     Yes

53

     No

46
35. How close do you feel to Israel?
  

     Very close

37

     Fairly close

39
     Fairly distant

16

     Very distant

6

     Not sure

2

36. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? ?Caring about Israel is a very important part of my being a Jew."